مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Club (MG) v Fortaleza

البداية: 2026-05-30 21:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Club (MG) 1–0 Fortaleza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.83%2.79السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.537%
Kelly -0.844%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.00%35.61%35.92%36.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortaleza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.15%3.11السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.43%32.44%32.02%34.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.48%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.02%3.12السعر العادل
EV -2.33%
الأفضلية -0.763%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.80%31.95%32.06%33.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.70%34.72%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -1.48%E -0.537%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -10.94%E -3.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:52
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.98%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.33%E -0.763%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 20:59
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 21:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.09%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 21:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 21:00
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 21:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 21:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 20:58
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -15.77%E -6.02%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.90%EV -7.93%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -5.80%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -9.37%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 20:58
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 20:59
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 21:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.45%E -5.87%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 20:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-05-30 21:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-05-30 21:00