StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 0–2 São Bernardo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 31.94%3.13rättvist odds
EV -3.53%
Fördel -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.13%32.06%31.91%34.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.832.853.0238.02%35.29%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 38.65%2.59rättvist odds
EV +0.877%
Fördel +0.336%
Kelly +0.545%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.83%38.57%38.68%39.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.402.402.6144.44%41.59%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.41%3.40rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.46%29.37%29.41%30.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.113.103.2833.33%32.12%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 31.94%; São Bernardo (Borta): 38.65%; Oavgjort: 29.41%. För São Bernardo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.59. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.61, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.877%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.83%EV +0.877%E +0.336%K +0.545%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -13.75%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.21%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 22:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 21:35
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -15.99%E -6.08%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32%EV -7.63%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 21:36
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 21:36
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:34
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 22:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.04%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-09-14 22:25
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-09-14 22:25