StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América Mineiro v São Bernardo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC

Endstand: América Mineiro 0–2 São Bernardo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América Mineiro (Heim)

Prognose 31.94%3.13faire Quote
EV -3.53%
Vorteil -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.13%32.06%31.91%34.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.632.832.853.0238.02%35.29%35.09%33.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.65%2.59faire Quote
EV +0.877%
Vorteil +0.336%
Kelly +0.545%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.83%38.57%38.68%39.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.402.402.6144.44%41.59%41.67%38.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.41%3.40faire Quote
EV -3.55%
Vorteil -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.46%29.37%29.41%30.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.113.103.2833.33%32.12%32.26%30.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: América Mineiro (Heim): 31.94%; São Bernardo (Auswärts): 38.65%; Unentschieden: 29.41%. Für São Bernardo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.59. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.61 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.877%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.83%EV +0.877%E +0.336%K +0.545%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -13.75%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.21%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 22:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 21:35
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -15.99%E -6.08%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32%EV -7.63%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 21:36
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 21:36
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:34
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 22:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.04%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-09-14 22:25
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-09-14 22:25