Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro v São Bernardo

Inizio: 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 0–2 São Bernardo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 31.94%3.13quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.13%32.06%31.91%34.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.832.853.0238.02%35.29%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

São Bernardo (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.65%2.59quota equa
EV +0.877%
Vantaggio +0.336%
Kelly +0.545%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.83%38.57%38.68%39.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.402.402.6144.44%41.59%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.41%3.40quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.46%29.37%29.41%30.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.113.103.2833.33%32.12%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América Mineiro (Casa): 31.94%; São Bernardo (Trasferta): 38.65%; Pareggio: 29.41%. Per São Bernardo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.59. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.61, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.877%.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.83%EV +0.877%E +0.336%K +0.545%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -13.75%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.21%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 22:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 21:35
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -15.99%E -6.08%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32%EV -7.63%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 21:36
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 21:36
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:34
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 22:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.04%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-09-14 22:25
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-09-14 22:25