Idioma:Español
América Mineiro v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 31.94%3.13momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%32.06%31.91%34.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.832.853.0238.02%35.29%35.09%33.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.877%
Ventaja +0.336%
Kelly +0.545%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.83%38.57%38.68%39.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.6144.44%41.59%41.67%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.41%3.40momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.37%29.41%30.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.113.103.2833.33%32.12%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América Mineiro (Local): 31.94%; São Bernardo (Visitante): 38.65%; Empate: 29.41%. Para São Bernardo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.61, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.877%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.83%EV +0.877%E +0.336%K +0.545%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -13.75%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.21%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -15.99%E -6.08%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32%EV -7.63%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.04%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |