Langue:Français
América Mineiro v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 31.94%3.13cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.13%32.06%31.91%34.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.832.853.0238.02%35.29%35.09%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.65%2.59cote équitable
EV +0.877%
Avantage +0.336%
Kelly +0.545%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%38.57%38.68%39.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.6144.44%41.59%41.67%38.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.41%3.40cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.37%29.41%30.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.113.103.2833.33%32.12%32.26%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América Mineiro (Local) : 31.94% ; São Bernardo (Visiteur) : 38.65% ; Match nul : 29.41%. Pour São Bernardo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.61, soit une espérance positive de +0.877%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.83%EV +0.877%E +0.336%K +0.545%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.80%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -13.75%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.21%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.47%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.36%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -15.99%E -6.08%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32%EV -7.63%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.01%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.96%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.00%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.04%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |