Language:English
América Mineiro v Nautico PE
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 31.80%3.14fair odd
EV -0.451%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.93%31.79%33.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.1337.04%35.10%35.09%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nautico PE (Visit)
Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.34%39.91%40.14%41.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.78%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.17%28.07%30.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.22%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 31.80%; Nautico PE (Visit): 40.11%; Draw: 28.09%. For América Mineiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.13, with an expected value of -0.451%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -0.451%E -0.144%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.15%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -8.95%E -3.94%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |