Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro v Nautico PE

Inizio: 2026-09-09 23:30 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 2–1 Nautico PE

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 31.80%3.14quota equa
EV -0.451%
Vantaggio -0.144%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.77%31.93%31.79%33.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.852.853.1337.04%35.10%35.09%31.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nautico PE (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.11%2.49quota equa
EV -0.531%
Vantaggio -0.214%
Kelly -0.359%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.34%39.91%40.14%41.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.78%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.09%3.56quota equa
EV -4.50%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%28.17%28.07%30.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.22%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América Mineiro (Casa): 31.80%; Nautico PE (Trasferta): 40.11%; Pareggio: 28.09%. Per América Mineiro (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.14. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.13, con un valore atteso del -0.451%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -0.451%E -0.144%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:31
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.15%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:14
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -8.95%E -3.94%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:15
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:09
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:34
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:20
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:26
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 15:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:31
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 15:19
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:24
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-09 17:01
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15