Idioma:Español
América Mineiro v Nautico PE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 31.80%3.14momio equitativo
EV -0.451%
Ventaja -0.144%
Kelly -0.212%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.93%31.79%33.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.853.1337.04%35.10%35.09%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Predicción 40.11%2.49momio equitativo
EV -0.531%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.34%39.91%40.14%41.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.78%43.48%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.17%28.07%30.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.22%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América Mineiro (Local): 31.80%; Nautico PE (Visitante): 40.11%; Empate: 28.09%. Para América Mineiro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.13, con un valor esperado de -0.451%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -0.451%E -0.144%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.15%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -8.95%E -3.94%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |