Langue:Français
América Mineiro v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 31.80%3.14cote équitable
EV -0.451%
Avantage -0.144%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.77%31.93%31.79%33.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.852.853.1337.04%35.10%35.09%31.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.11%2.49cote équitable
EV -0.531%
Avantage -0.214%
Kelly -0.359%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.34%39.91%40.14%41.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.78%43.48%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.09%3.56cote équitable
EV -4.50%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.17%28.07%30.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.22%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América Mineiro (Local) : 31.80% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 40.11% ; Match nul : 28.09%. Pour América Mineiro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.14. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.13, pour une espérance de -0.451% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -0.451%E -0.144%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.15%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -8.95%E -3.94%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |