StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 23:30 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 2–1 Nautico PE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 31.80%3.14rättvist odds
EV -0.451%
Fördel -0.144%
Kelly -0.212%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.77%31.93%31.79%33.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.852.853.1337.04%35.10%35.09%31.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 40.11%2.49rättvist odds
EV -0.531%
Fördel -0.214%
Kelly -0.359%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.34%39.91%40.14%41.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.78%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.09%3.56rättvist odds
EV -4.50%
Fördel -1.32%
Kelly -1.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.08%28.17%28.07%30.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.22%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 31.80%; Nautico PE (Borta): 40.11%; Oavgjort: 28.09%. För América Mineiro (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.14. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.13, med väntevärdet -0.451%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -0.451%E -0.144%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:31
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.15%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:14
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -8.95%E -3.94%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:15
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:31
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.531%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:09
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -8.40%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:34
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.95%E -3.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:31
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:20
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:26
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.76%E -4.34%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 15:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:31
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.72%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -17.14%E -5.81%K -8.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.54%E -4.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.77%E -6.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 15:19
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:24
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.13%E -5.23%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -18.55%E -6.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-09 17:01
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15