StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino

Matchstart: 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 0–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 41.13%2.43rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta)

Prognos 29.05%3.44rättvist odds
EV -0.058%
Fördel -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.82%3.35rättvist odds
EV -3.10%
Fördel -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 41.13%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta): 29.05%; Oavgjort: 29.82%. För Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.442. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.440, med väntevärdet -0.058%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 20:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:29
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:46
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 20:54
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.0%2026-04-12 20:55