L’École des cotesFrançais
América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 41.13%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -0.058%
Avantage -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.82%3.35cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:46 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-10 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |