مدرسة الاحتمالات

América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América Mineiro 0–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América Mineiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.13%2.43السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.05%3.44السعر العادل
EV -0.058%
الأفضلية -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.82%3.35السعر العادل
EV -3.10%
الأفضلية -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 20:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 20:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:46
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 20:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.0%2026-04-12 20:55