A Escola das OddsPortuguês
América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
América Mineiro (Local)
Previsão 41.13%2.43odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Previsão 29.05%3.44odd justa
EV -0.058%
Vantagem -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.44
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 29.82%3.35odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:46 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-10 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |