Школа коэффициентов

América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino

Начало: 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

Итог: América Mineiro 0–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

América Mineiro (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.13%2.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.29%
Преимущество -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Гости)

Прогноз 29.05%3.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.058%
Преимущество -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.82%3.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.10%
Преимущество -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 20:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 20:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:54
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:46
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 20:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.0%2026-04-12 20:55