Lingua:Italiano
América Mineiro v Grêmio Novorizontino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
América Mineiro (Casa)
Previsione 41.13%2.43quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.536%
Kelly -0.919%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.50%41.16%41.03%43.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.212.232.4047.62%45.15%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.05%3.44quota equa
EV -0.058%
Vantaggio -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.50%28.89%29.22%30.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.183.203.4433.33%31.41%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 29.82%3.35quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -0.953%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.65%29.95%29.75%32.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.24%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América Mineiro (Casa): 41.13%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 29.05%; Pareggio: 29.82%. Per Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.442. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.440, con un valore atteso del -0.058%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -1.29%E -0.536%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -9.96%E -3.30%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -5.81%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -11.45%E -3.85%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.19%EV -15.32%E -5.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.87%E -3.51%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -11.16%E -5.17%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -11.98%E -5.60%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-10 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |