The School of OddsSao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prediction 46.01%2.17fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%46.05%46.10%48.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0953%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Atletico Paranaense (Visit)
Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +0.884%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%24.13%24.09%25.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.913.944.2629%26%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -0.052%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.81%29.82%31.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.153.3535%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.02%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +2.88%E +0.677%K +0.884%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -0.947%E -0.285%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.98%EV +1.67%E +0.398%K +0.522%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.92%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.84%EV +0.709%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 00:02 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.97%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.13%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -16.68%E -4.83%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |