La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sao Paulo (Casa)
Previsione 46.01%2.17quota equa
EV -3.83%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.44%46.05%46.10%48.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.002.002.0953.19%49.98%50.00%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.15%4.14quota equa
EV +2.88%
Vantaggio +0.677%
Kelly +0.884%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.64%24.13%24.09%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.913.944.2628.99%25.56%25.41%23.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.84%3.35quota equa
EV -0.052%
Vantaggio -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.62%29.81%29.82%31.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.143.153.3534.72%31.82%31.75%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.02%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +2.88%E +0.677%K +0.884%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -0.947%E -0.285%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.98%EV +1.67%E +0.398%K +0.522%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.92%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.84%EV +0.709%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 00:02 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.97%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.13%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -16.68%E -4.83%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |