La escuela de los momiosSao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sao Paulo (Local)
Predicción 46.01%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%46.05%46.10%48.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.0953.19%49.98%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.677%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%24.13%24.09%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.913.944.2628.99%25.56%25.41%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.84%3.35momio equitativo
EV -0.052%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.81%29.82%31.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.153.3534.72%31.82%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.02%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +2.88%E +0.677%K +0.884%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -0.947%E -0.285%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.98%EV +1.67%E +0.398%K +0.522%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.92%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.84%EV +0.709%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 00:02 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.97%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.13%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -16.68%E -4.83%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |