Школа коэффициентов

Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense

Начало: 2026-07-23 00:30 UTC

Итог: Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sao Paulo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 46.01%2.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.83%
Преимущество -1.83%
Kelly -3.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.09

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.44%46.05%46.10%48.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.882.002.002.0953.19%49.98%50.00%47.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Atletico Paranaense (Гости)

Прогноз 24.15%4.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.88%
Преимущество +0.677%
Kelly +0.884%
Рост +0.025%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.26

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.64%24.13%24.09%25.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.913.944.2628.99%25.56%25.41%23.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.84%3.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.052%
Преимущество -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.62%29.81%29.82%31.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.143.153.3534.72%31.82%31.75%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.02%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +2.88%E +0.677%K +0.884%G +0.025%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -0.947%E -0.285%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 00:24
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 23:44
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 23:44
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.98%EV +1.67%E +0.398%K +0.522%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 00:14
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.92%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.84%EV +0.709%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 08:20
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 00:14
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 00:14
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:02
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 23:49
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 23:45
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 23:44
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 23:49
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 23:50
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:24
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:24
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 00:24
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 22:44
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 23:45
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 23:45
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 23:39
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 12:14
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:45
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:14
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 00:05
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 00:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 00:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:48
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:48
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 23:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 00:19
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 23:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 23:49
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.97%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.13%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-23 00:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 00:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 23:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -16.68%E -4.83%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 23:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-07-23 00:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-07-22 23:55
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.4%2026-07-23 00:24