L’École des cotesSao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prévision 46.01%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%46.05%46.10%48.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.0953.19%49.98%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.15%4.14cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.677%
Kelly +0.884%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%24.13%24.09%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.913.944.2628.99%25.56%25.41%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.84%3.35cote équitable
EV -0.052%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.81%29.82%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.143.153.3534.72%31.82%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.02%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV +2.88%E +0.677%K +0.884%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -0.947%E -0.285%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +2.64%E +0.621%K +0.812%G +0.021% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.98%EV +1.67%E +0.398%K +0.522%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.92%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.84%EV +0.709%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV -0.258%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 00:02 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.982%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.19%E -0.541%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.934%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.97%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.13%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -11.65%E -6.07%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -16.68%E -4.83%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |