La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Palmeiras v Grêmio
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Palmeiras (Casa)
Previsione 60.79%1.64quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.43%60.78%60.86%62.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.57%65.36%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.56%6.04quota equa
EV +6.78%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.084%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.78%16.49%16.53%18.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.705.756.4520.83%17.55%17.39%15.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.65%4.42quota equa
EV -0.340%
Vantaggio -0.077%
Kelly -0.100%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.47%22.73%22.61%24.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.064.104.4029.41%24.60%24.39%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.19%EV +5.79%E +0.906%K +1.07%G +0.062% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.17%EV -0.793%E -0.181%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.69%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -2.73%E -1.71%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV -2.32%E -0.394%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.71%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.34%EV -4.14%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.93%E -0.445%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.46%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -0.340%E -0.077%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.880%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.93%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.23%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -9.85%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -22.99%E -6.76%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |