L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Palmeiras v Grêmio
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras (Local)
Prévision 60.79%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.43%60.78%60.86%62.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.57%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.56%6.04cote équitable
EV +6.78%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 6.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.78%16.49%16.53%18.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.705.756.4520.83%17.55%17.39%15.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.65%4.42cote équitable
EV -0.340%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.100%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.47%22.73%22.61%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.064.104.4029.41%24.60%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.19%EV +5.79%E +0.906%K +1.07%G +0.062% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.17%EV -0.793%E -0.181%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.69%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -2.73%E -1.71%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV -2.32%E -0.394%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.71%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.34%EV -4.14%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.93%E -0.445%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.46%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -0.340%E -0.077%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.880%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.93%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.23%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -9.85%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -22.99%E -6.76%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |