La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palmeiras v Grêmio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras (Local)
Predicción 60.79%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.43%60.78%60.86%62.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.57%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio (Visitante)
Predicción 16.56%6.04momio equitativo
EV +6.78%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.78%16.49%16.53%18.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.705.756.4520.83%17.55%17.39%15.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.65%4.42momio equitativo
EV -0.340%
Ventaja -0.077%
Kelly -0.100%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.47%22.73%22.61%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.064.104.4029.41%24.60%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.19%EV +5.79%E +0.906%K +1.07%G +0.062% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.17%EV -0.793%E -0.181%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.69%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -2.73%E -1.71%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV -2.32%E -0.394%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.71%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 00:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.34%EV -4.14%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.93%E -0.445%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.46%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -0.340%E -0.077%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.880%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 23:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.93%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.23%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-03 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -9.85%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-03 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -22.99%E -6.76%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-02 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 00:20 |