Die Schule der Quoten

Palmeiras v Grêmio

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-03 00:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Palmeiras (Heim)

Prognose 60.79%1.64faire Quote
EV -2.73%
Vorteil -1.71%
Kelly -4.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.43%60.78%60.86%62.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.57%65.36%62.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Grêmio (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.56%6.04faire Quote
EV +6.78%
Vorteil +1.05%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.084%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.78%16.49%16.53%18.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.805.705.756.4520.83%17.55%17.39%15.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.65%4.42faire Quote
EV -0.340%
Vorteil -0.077%
Kelly -0.100%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.47%22.73%22.61%24.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.404.064.104.4029.41%24.60%24.39%22.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.19%EV +5.79%E +0.906%K +1.07%G +0.062%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.17%EV -0.793%E -0.181%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 00:24
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.69%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 00:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:24
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 00:14
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -2.73%E -1.71%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV -2.32%E -0.394%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.71%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 00:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 00:10
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.34%EV -4.14%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.93%E -0.445%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 00:14
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:10
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:14
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 00:10
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 00:10
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 00:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.46%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 23:55
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:25
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -0.340%E -0.077%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.880%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:09
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 23:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 23:55
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 23:45
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 23:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:25
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.93%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 23:45
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 23:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.23%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-03 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -9.85%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -22.99%E -6.76%K -9.58%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-03 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-02 23:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-03 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-03 00:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-04-03 00:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-03 00:20