مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palmeiras v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-04-03 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palmeiras (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.79%1.64السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -4.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.43%60.78%60.86%62.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.57%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.56%6.04السعر العادل
EV +6.78%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.084%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.78%16.49%16.53%18.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.705.756.4520.83%17.55%17.39%15.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.65%4.42السعر العادل
EV -0.340%
الأفضلية -0.077%
Kelly -0.100%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.47%22.73%22.61%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.064.104.4029.41%24.60%24.39%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.78%EV +6.78%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.19%EV +5.79%E +0.906%K +1.07%G +0.062%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.17%EV -0.793%E -0.181%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 00:24
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.69%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 00:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +0.988%E +0.162%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:25
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:24
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 00:14
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.667%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -2.73%E -1.71%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV -2.32%E -0.394%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.71%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 00:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 00:10
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.34%EV -4.14%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.93%E -0.445%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 23:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 00:14
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:10
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -8.27%E -2.04%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:14
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 00:10
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 00:10
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 00:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.46%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.61%E -0.606%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 23:55
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:25
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -0.340%E -0.077%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -3.74%E -0.880%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:09
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 23:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 23:55
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 23:45
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 23:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 00:25
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.93%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 23:45
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 23:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.60%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.00%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.23%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-03 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.37%EV -9.85%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -22.99%E -6.76%K -9.58%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-03 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-02 23:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-03 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-03 00:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-04-03 00:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-03 00:20