Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grêmio v Vasco da Gama

Początek: 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio 1–2 Vasco da Gama

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grêmio (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 26.93%3.71kurs godziwy
EV +0.454%
Przewaga +0.122%
Kelly +0.166%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.80%27.09%26.87%30.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.433.503.7333.33%29.12%28.57%26.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vasco da Gama (Goście)

Prognoza 44.09%2.27kurs godziwy
EV -0.791%
Przewaga -0.352%
Kelly -0.633%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.94%43.91%44.11%45.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.962.102.102.2551.02%47.58%47.62%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.98%3.45kurs godziwy
EV -0.033%
Przewaga -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.63%29.00%29.01%30.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.03%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Grêmio (Gospodarze): 26.93%; Vasco da Gama (Goście): 44.09%; Remis: 28.98%. Dla wyniku Grêmio (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.71. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.73, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.454%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.454%E +0.122%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.73%EV -3.22%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:20
BetAnything🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:31
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:54
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:46
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:50
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:51
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:55
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:55
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.29%E -3.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:46
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:45
GTbets🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.54%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:30
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:46
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:54
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:53
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:25
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:25
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:25
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:50
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -13.58%E -6.93%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 18:31
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.70%E -6.41%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.88%EV -12.20%E -4.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 18:39
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -3.08%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:46
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:46
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-09-12 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-09-12 18:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-09-12 18:31