Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.73
avec la cote maximale 2.25
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grêmio (Local) : 26.93% ; Vasco da Gama (Visiteur) : 44.09% ; Match nul : 28.98%. Pour Grêmio (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.73, soit une espérance positive de +0.454%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.454%E +0.122%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.73%EV -3.22%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.29%E -3.98%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.54%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -13.58%E -6.93%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.70%E -6.41%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.88%EV -12.20%E -4.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -3.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |