Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Grêmio (Casa): 26.93%; Vasco da Gama (Trasferta): 44.09%; Pareggio: 28.98%. Per Grêmio (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.71. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.73, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.454%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.454%E +0.122%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.73%EV -3.22%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.29%E -3.98%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.54%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -13.58%E -6.93%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.70%E -6.41%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.88%EV -12.20%E -4.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -3.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |