Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grêmio (Local): 26.93%; Vasco da Gama (Visitante): 44.09%; Empate: 28.98%. Para Grêmio (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.71. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.73, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.454%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.454%E +0.122%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.73%EV -3.22%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -1.70%E -0.466%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.78%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.29%E -3.98%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.54%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.20%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.61%E -4.69%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -13.58%E -6.93%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.91%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.70%E -6.41%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.88%EV -12.20%E -4.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.52%E -3.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.791%E -0.352%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |