Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 2.61
assuming max odds 3.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grêmio (Local): 30.78%; Corinthians (Visit): 38.85%; Draw: 30.37%. For Grêmio (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -10.12%E -3.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV +1.39%E +0.534%K +0.866%G +0.012% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -0.683%E -0.209%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -0.549%E -0.214%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.43%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.50%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.79%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.82%E -4.93%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |