La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Grêmio v Corinthians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 30.78%3.25momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.477%
Kelly +0.684%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.27%30.74%30.72%33.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.77%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Corinthians (Visitante)
Predicción 38.85%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.866%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.15%38.88%38.91%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.402.6145.45%42.14%41.67%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.683%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.27%30.37%30.37%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.083.103.2734.72%32.52%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -10.12%E -3.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV +1.39%E +0.534%K +0.866%G +0.012% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -0.683%E -0.209%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| GTbets | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -0.549%E -0.214%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.43%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:19 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.50%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.79%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.82%E -4.93%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |