L’École des cotesFrançais
Grêmio v Corinthians
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio (Local)
Prévision 30.78%3.25cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.684%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.27%30.74%30.72%33.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.77%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Corinthians (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.85%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +0.866%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 2.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%38.88%38.91%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.402.6145.45%42.14%41.67%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV -0.683%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.301%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.27%30.37%30.37%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.083.103.2734.72%32.52%32.26%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -10.12%E -3.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV +1.39%E +0.534%K +0.866%G +0.012% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -0.683%E -0.209%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| GTbets | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -0.549%E -0.214%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.43%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:19 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.50%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.79%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.82%E -4.93%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |