مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio v Corinthians

البداية: 2026-05-30 20:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grêmio 1–3 Corinthians

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.78%3.25السعر العادل
EV +1.57%
الأفضلية +0.477%
Kelly +0.684%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.27%30.74%30.72%33.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.77%32.79%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Corinthians (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.85%2.57السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.534%
Kelly +0.866%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.15%38.88%38.91%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.372.402.6145.45%42.14%41.67%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.37%3.29السعر العادل
EV -0.683%
الأفضلية -0.209%
Kelly -0.301%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.27%30.37%30.37%31.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.083.103.2734.72%32.52%32.26%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -10.12%E -3.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV +1.39%E +0.534%K +0.866%G +0.012%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -0.683%E -0.209%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 20:20
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -0.549%E -0.214%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 19:40
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.43%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 20:20
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 20:00
LowVig.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:20
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 20:10
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 20:19
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 20:20
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 20:20
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:10
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 20:09
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 20:20
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:18
Marathon Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.50%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:10
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 19:40
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 19:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 19:40
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 19:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 20:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 20:20
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 19:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 19:40
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 19:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 20:10
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-30 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.79%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 20:09
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 19:59
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.82%E -4.93%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-30 20:00
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 19:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 19:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 19:50
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94%0.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%0.3%2026-05-30 20:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-30 20:20
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-30 20:10