La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Grêmio v Corinthians
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Grêmio (Casa)
Previsione 30.78%3.25quota equa
EV +1.57%
Vantaggio +0.477%
Kelly +0.684%
Crescita +0.011%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.27%30.74%30.72%33.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.77%32.79%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Corinthians (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.85%2.57quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.534%
Kelly +0.866%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.15%38.88%38.91%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.372.402.6145.45%42.14%41.67%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.37%3.29quota equa
EV -0.683%
Vantaggio -0.209%
Kelly -0.301%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.27%30.37%30.37%31.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.083.103.2734.72%32.52%32.26%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -10.12%E -3.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV +1.39%E +0.534%K +0.866%G +0.012% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -0.683%E -0.209%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| GTbets | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -0.549%E -0.214%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -2.43%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.69%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -2.12%E -0.667%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:19 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.50%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +1.57%E +0.477%K +0.684%G +0.011% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -9.87%E -4.26%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.51%E -0.470%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.79%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.04%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.82%E -4.93%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |