Школа коэффициентов

Cruzeiro v Grêmio

Начало: 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC

Итог: Cruzeiro 2–0 Grêmio

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cruzeiro (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.91%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -1.24%
Kelly -2.88%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.12%55.92%55.80%57.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.95%59.88%57.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio (Гости)

Прогноз 18.58%5.38справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.08%
Преимущество +0.198%
Kelly +0.243%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.71%18.58%18.65%19.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.504.975.005.4422.22%20.11%20.00%18.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.51%3.92справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.01%
Преимущество -0.261%
Kelly -0.352%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.88

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.53%25.51%25.55%27.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.643.653.8832.26%27.47%27.40%25.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.01%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.71%EV +1.08%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 23:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:55
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 22:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:05
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 23:25
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.90%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.97%EV -5.05%E -0.989%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 21:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 21:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -4.40%E -2.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.97%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 23:23
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 23:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:23
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -11.11%E -6.99%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:23
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 23:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.67%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.53%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.91%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 21:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-18 23:25