La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Cruzeiro v Grêmio
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Cruzeiro (Casa)
Previsione 55.91%1.79quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.12%55.92%55.80%57.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.95%59.88%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.58%5.38quota equa
EV +1.08%
Vantaggio +0.198%
Kelly +0.243%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.71%18.58%18.65%19.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.975.005.4422.22%20.11%20.00%18.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.51%3.92quota equa
EV -1.01%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%25.51%25.55%27.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.643.653.8832.26%27.47%27.40%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.01%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.71%EV +1.08%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 06:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 06:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.90%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.97%EV -5.05%E -0.989%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -4.40%E -2.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.97%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -11.11%E -6.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.67%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.53%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.91%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |