مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruzeiro v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruzeiro 2–0 Grêmio

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruzeiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.91%1.79السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -2.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.12%55.92%55.80%57.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.95%59.88%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.58%5.38السعر العادل
EV +1.08%
الأفضلية +0.198%
Kelly +0.243%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.71%18.58%18.65%19.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.975.005.4422.22%20.11%20.00%18.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.51%3.92السعر العادل
EV -1.01%
الأفضلية -0.261%
Kelly -0.352%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.53%25.51%25.55%27.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.643.653.8832.26%27.47%27.40%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.01%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.71%EV +1.08%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 23:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:55
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 22:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:05
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 23:25
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.90%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.97%EV -5.05%E -0.989%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 21:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 21:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -4.40%E -2.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.97%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 23:23
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 23:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:23
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -11.11%E -6.99%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:23
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 23:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.67%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.53%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.91%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-18 23:25