La escuela de los momiosCruzeiro v Grêmio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruzeiro (Local)
Predicción 55.91%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.12%55.92%55.80%57.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.95%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio (Visitante)
Predicción 18.58%5.38momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.198%
Kelly +0.243%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.71%18.58%18.65%19.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.975.005.4422.22%20.11%20.00%18.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.261%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.51%25.55%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.643.653.8832.26%27.47%27.40%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.01%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.71%EV +1.08%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 06:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 06:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.90%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.97%EV -5.05%E -0.989%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -4.40%E -2.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.97%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -11.11%E -6.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:23 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.67%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.53%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.91%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |