Szkoła Kursów

Cruzeiro v Grêmio

Początek: 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cruzeiro 2–0 Grêmio

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Cruzeiro (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.91%1.79kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -1.24%
Kelly -2.88%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.12%55.92%55.80%57.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.95%59.88%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grêmio (Goście)

Prognoza 18.58%5.38kurs godziwy
EV +1.08%
Przewaga +0.198%
Kelly +0.243%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.71%18.58%18.65%19.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.504.975.005.4422.22%20.11%20.00%18.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.51%3.92kurs godziwy
EV -1.01%
Przewaga -0.261%
Kelly -0.352%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.88

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.53%25.51%25.55%27.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.643.653.8832.26%27.47%27.40%25.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.01%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.71%EV +1.08%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 06:44
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 23:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:55
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.93%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 22:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:05
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.38%E -0.650%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 23:25
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.90%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.97%EV -5.05%E -0.989%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.16%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -5.24%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 21:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 23:23
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.52%E -3.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 21:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.05%E -0.804%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -4.40%E -2.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.97%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 23:05
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.02%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.19%E -4.33%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 23:23
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 23:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.95%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:23
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -11.11%E -6.99%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -9.88%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 22:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:23
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.81%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 23:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.64%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.64%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.43%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.31%E -5.07%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.67%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.53%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.55%E -6.59%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.98%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -16.39%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.91%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 21:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-18 23:25