A Escola das Odds

Chapecoense v Vitoria

Início: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chapecoense (Local)

Previsão 36.34%2.75odd justa
EV +1.75%
Vantagem +0.626%
Kelly +0.973%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.06%36.34%36.41%38.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.532.502.8042.02%39.55%40.00%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Visitante)

Previsão 34.08%2.93odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.745%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.19%33.98%34.10%35.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.06%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.58%3.38odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -0.721%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.41%29.68%29.48%31.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.143.133.3036.36%31.84%31.90%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:54
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.644%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 18:50
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 18:14
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.73%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:44
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.30%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:47
BetAnything2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:54
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:40
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:39
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -5.94%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:09
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:39
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:40
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:50
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:14
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:15
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:14
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 18:31
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-05 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.75%0.1%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%0.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-05 18:55