مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chapecoense v Vitoria

البداية: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chapecoense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.34%2.75السعر العادل
EV +1.75%
الأفضلية +0.626%
Kelly +0.973%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.06%36.34%36.41%38.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.532.502.8042.02%39.55%40.00%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vitoria (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.08%2.93السعر العادل
EV +2.23%
الأفضلية +0.745%
Kelly +1.12%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.19%33.98%34.10%35.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.06%36.36%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.58%3.38السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -0.721%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.41%29.68%29.48%31.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.143.133.3036.36%31.84%31.90%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:54
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.644%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 18:50
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 18:14
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.73%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:44
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.30%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:47
BetAnything2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:54
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:40
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:39
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -5.94%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:09
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:39
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:40
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:50
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:14
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:15
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:14
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 18:31
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-05 18:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.75%0.1%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%0.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-05 18:55