Szkoła Kursów

Chapecoense v Vitoria

Początek: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Chapecoense (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.34%2.75kurs godziwy
EV +1.75%
Przewaga +0.626%
Kelly +0.973%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.06%36.34%36.41%38.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.532.502.8042.02%39.55%40.00%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vitoria (Goście)

Prognoza 34.08%2.93kurs godziwy
EV +2.23%
Przewaga +0.745%
Kelly +1.12%
Wzrost +0.025%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.19%33.98%34.10%35.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.06%36.36%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.58%3.38kurs godziwy
EV -2.38%
Przewaga -0.721%
Kelly -1.03%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.41%29.68%29.48%31.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.143.133.3036.36%31.84%31.90%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:54
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:55
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.644%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 18:50
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 18:14
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.73%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:44
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.30%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:47
BetAnything2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:54
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 18:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:40
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:39
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -5.94%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:09
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:39
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:34
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:40
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:50
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:14
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:15
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:14
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 18:31
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-05 18:34
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.75%0.1%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 18:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%0.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-05 18:55