Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chapecoense (Casa): 36.34%; Vitoria (Trasferta): 34.08%; Pareggio: 29.58%. Per Vitoria (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.23%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV +2.23%E +0.745%K +1.12%G +0.025% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -9.88%E -3.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.644%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -11.69%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.73%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.30%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 18:47 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.23%EV -5.88%E -2.27%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -5.94%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV +1.75%E +0.626%K +0.973%G +0.017% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -13.51%E -5.68%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.33%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 18:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.78%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.75% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |