StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol

Matchstart: 2026-05-30 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Paranaense (Hemma)

Prognos 49.20%2.03rättvist odds
EV -3.57%
Fördel -1.82%
Kelly -3.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.76%49.27%49.18%51.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.761.871.881.9656.82%53.41%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Mirassol (Borta)

Prognos 21.99%4.55rättvist odds
EV +7.75%
Fördel +1.58%
Kelly +1.99%
Tillväxt +0.154%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.74%21.92%22.04%23.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.354.334.9026.67%23.01%23.09%20.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.81%3.47rättvist odds
EV -2.62%
Fördel -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.11%28.81%28.78%30.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.213.253.3835.71%31.12%30.77%29.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atletico Paranaense (Hemma): 49.20%; Mirassol (Borta): 21.99%; Oavgjort: 28.81%. För Mirassol (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.55. 18 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.75%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -10.95%E -6.05%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:19
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:31
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 18:40
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.47%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.84%EV -2.37%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV -2.81%E -0.636%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:09
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 17:42
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 16:19
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.91%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 18:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 18:31
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 16:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -12.48%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 18:37
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 16:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-30 18:51
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-30 18:40