La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Atletico Paranaense (Casa)
Previsione 49.20%2.03quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.76%49.27%49.18%51.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.871.881.9656.82%53.41%53.19%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mirassol (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.99%4.55quota equa
EV +7.75%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescita +0.154%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.74%21.92%22.04%23.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.354.334.9026.67%23.01%23.09%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.81%3.47quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.11%28.81%28.78%30.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.213.253.3835.71%31.12%30.77%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -10.95%E -6.05%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.47%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.84%EV -2.37%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV -2.81%E -0.636%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 17:42 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.91%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -12.48%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 18:37 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:51 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |