A Escola das Odds

Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol

Início: 2026-05-30 19:00 UTC

Final: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Local)

Previsão 49.20%2.03odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -3.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.76%49.27%49.18%51.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.871.881.9656.82%53.41%53.19%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Previsão 21.99%4.55odd justa
EV +7.75%
Vantagem +1.58%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.74%21.92%22.04%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.354.334.9026.67%23.01%23.09%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.81%3.47odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.11%28.81%28.78%30.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.213.253.3835.71%31.12%30.77%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:40
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -10.95%E -6.05%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:19
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 18:40
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:31
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:00
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 17:59
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 18:40
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.47%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.84%EV -2.37%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV -2.81%E -0.636%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:09
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 17:42
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 16:19
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.91%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 18:48
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 16:29
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 16:29
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:49
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 18:31
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 16:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 16:30
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:30
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 16:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 17:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -12.48%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 18:37
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-30 18:51
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-30 18:40