La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Predicción 49.20%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.76%49.27%49.18%51.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.871.881.9656.82%53.41%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirassol (Visitante)
Predicción 21.99%4.55momio equitativo
EV +7.75%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%21.92%22.04%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.354.334.9026.67%23.01%23.09%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.81%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.11%28.81%28.78%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.213.253.3835.71%31.12%30.77%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -10.95%E -6.05%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.47%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.84%EV -2.37%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV -2.81%E -0.636%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 17:42 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.91%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -12.48%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 18:37 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:51 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |