L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 49.20%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.76%49.27%49.18%51.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.871.881.9656.82%53.41%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mirassol (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.99%4.55cote équitable
EV +7.75%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.154%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.74%21.92%22.04%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.354.334.9026.67%23.01%23.09%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.81%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%28.81%28.78%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.253.3835.71%31.12%30.77%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +7.75%E +1.58%K +1.99%G +0.154% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +4.45%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.053% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -10.95%E -6.05%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.35%E +0.712%K +0.905%G +0.030% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -12.42%E -6.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.62%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -1.05%E -0.233%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.47%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.84%EV -2.37%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -3.57%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV -2.81%E -0.636%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 17:42 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.91%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -3.20%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 18:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -12.48%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 18:37 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.45%E -5.74%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-30 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:51 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |